Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Forex Trade Example (27 May 14)

Following the weak trends on Monday, most major pairings were still indecisive. The Euro experienced a short term trend reversal against both USD and JPY. UK's pending release of borrowing figures made investors even more unsure. In the end, it sparked a dip in the British Pound. A good day to avoid the GBP.
Disclaimer:  This is purely for sharing purpose only, not a trading advice or instruction.



Trade: Buy on uptrend pullback near trendline. Prices moved against trade. Average down after spotting doji and reversal signal for upside pullback. Got out near previous support/resistance level of 1.3653 with a slight profit.
Review: New low breaking previous low signals a trend reversal from up to downtrend. A way to close the trade would be to cut loss at first break of previous low. However, a doji and a minor reversal signal was seen, thus I averaged down the trade to close all positions at pullback to minimise losses. Since previous support is at 1.3653, pullback resistance should be around the same level, thus all positions were closed there.




Trade: Sell on downtrend pullback after downward kicker signal.
Review: Trend reversal from up to downtrend, seen by lower trough and lower peak. Sell and got out within 3 bars. Profit 5 pips.

Summary
5 min charts today were no trending obviously, therefore 15 min charts were used to see the clearer picture. In times of a trend reversal during an open position, there are 2 options. Cut loss immediately after break out, or average up/down positions and minimize loss at first pullback (see first trade on top). Averaging up/down is riskier. I only do it when I see signs of a strong pullback.



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